4,993 posts
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Post by Someone in a tree on Sept 23, 2022 14:39:40 GMT
I'll kick off by talking about todaays proceedings, this budget is just dreadful. Surely an open goal for the opposition parties? How many votes do the Tories think they'll really win by giving a £2.5k tax cut to a person on £200k? www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-63009173
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8,162 posts
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Post by alece10 on Sept 23, 2022 14:54:31 GMT
All I can see is lots of money going out but where is the money coming in to pay for it or are they using that magical money tree?
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Post by jojo on Sept 23, 2022 15:00:43 GMT
I can only assume that they know they've already alienated virtually all floating and soft-conservative voters so they've decided they may as well run the economy for the benefit of their friends and party donors and hope that a well-funded election campaign and a dodgy voting system that limits real choice will see them through.
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1,485 posts
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Post by mkb on Sept 23, 2022 15:05:38 GMT
I championed Truss because I knew she would be bad and unelectable at the next general election. However, I never anticipated she would be so disastrously bad that she planned to take the nation down with her.
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2,340 posts
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Sept 23, 2022 16:24:33 GMT
Can I be the first to say on ‘ere
Come back Boris, all is forgiven.
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641 posts
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Post by christya on Sept 24, 2022 17:11:02 GMT
Well, I'll get a bit extra every month, with the NI changes etc. But I'm not one of those who were desperate for it. I'm not quite sure what exactly she thinks she's doing here.
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916 posts
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Post by karloscar on Sept 24, 2022 22:21:27 GMT
Interesting that even the Tory voters who phoned Any Answers today thought that Mistrust and Kamikwasi's non-budget was a disaster at best. The only voice of dissent was an Italian guy who was clearly as misinformed and insane as our "leaders".
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3,578 posts
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Post by Rory on Sept 24, 2022 22:55:44 GMT
Can I be the first to say on ‘ere Come back Boris, all is forgiven. No, it bloody well isn't!
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2,340 posts
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Sept 25, 2022 7:22:05 GMT
Can I be the first to say on ‘ere Come back Boris, all is forgiven. No, it bloody well isn't! It’s going to feel like Johnson’s government made the UK a little left wing outpost compared to Liz Truss. Strap yourself in
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3,578 posts
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Post by Rory on Sept 25, 2022 8:20:38 GMT
No, it bloody well isn't! It’s going to feel like Johnson’s government made the UK a little left wing outpost compared to Liz Truss. Strap yourself in Oh I know too well! She's dreadful. It's an ERG government.
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4,993 posts
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Post by Someone in a tree on Sept 25, 2022 10:54:45 GMT
Anyone for trickle down economics?
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Post by mkb on Sept 25, 2022 11:51:32 GMT
I daresay I'm pretty typical of working class people who are comfortable financially. I'm nowhere near the 60% marginal tax band, nor the 45% band above that, but I have the means to pay higher taxes if I have to, and given the dire straits we're creating for the next generation, I'd be happy to.
If you give me a tax cut, it doesn't trickle down; it goes on a posher hotel abroad on my next holiday, or into savings.
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3,321 posts
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Post by david on Sept 25, 2022 15:38:57 GMT
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Post by Jan on Sept 26, 2022 7:58:49 GMT
If you give me a tax cut, it doesn't trickle down; it goes on a posher hotel abroad on my next holiday, or into savings. That is a straw man argument because there is no such thing as trickle down economics and you won't find a single economist who says there is. Truss & Kwarteng haven't justified their policies on that basis. What they have done is implemented a paradigm shift in policy goals - for the past several years Conservative policy has simply followed Labour in being focussed on distribution of the available wealth to reduce income inequality (based on some sort of measure) via "progressive" taxation. Truss has ditched that idea and is focussed now on increasing the *total* wealth for distribution via high GDP growth. Whether she succeeds or not is unknown but on her terms success will be measured by GDP gains, she's simply not interested in "trickle-down" as it doesn't exist. To put is more simply, if she gives the middle classes a tax cut that is aimed purely at the middle classes, it doesn't have to be "progressive" and make things better for the low-paid too - there are separate measures aimed at them. Also you imply that if you put your excess money into savings this has no wider benefit as the money is somehow dormant. This looks an appealing argument but in fact you won't find a single economist of any type who agrees with you. It is a well-established economic fact (one of few) that higher savings boost GDP by making more capital available for investment. Not on this specific budget, but polling generally shows the lower-paid are not that bothered about what high earners get paid - football players for example - as long as their own pay and benefits and taxation is to their liking. The really massive help the budget is giving the low-paid is the energy price cap, but maybe that won't be obvious because it is not via a direct cash payment or an obvious tax reduction. Her GDP goals will not be met by this budget alone - a far more difficult and contentious thing she will have to do is reform planning laws - this will be opposed to a greater or lesser extent by MPs of all parties who are all happy for new housing/factories/offices/retail to be built anywhere other than their own constituencies (because that's what their constituents think too).
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2,496 posts
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Post by zahidf on Sept 26, 2022 10:35:52 GMT
Come on guys....
Fury from a Tory MP who says talk of no confidence letters going in is not misplaced.
"My colleagues will rule nothing in and rule nothing out," they say.
"There will come a time where people have to say ‘I know it’ll make us look chaotic, but we can’t go on like this."
I Mean it would be absolute turmoil. And would, at very least in the short term, make the financial situation even worse.
But what you need to do is balance that out against it being very very very very funny.
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951 posts
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Post by vdcni on Sept 26, 2022 11:12:00 GMT
Will we see another interest rise soon, markets seem to think so hence why the pound has stabilised a tiny bit though still at historic lows. Which of course would wipe out any gain from tax cuts and has the potential to cause a housing crash. As people carry more debt and have bigger mortgages relative to earnings these days you don't have to hit 10%+ for things to be unsustainable.
Cost of borrowing still going up so the government are massively increasing the countries debt to fund the energy cap and tax cuts for the wealthy. Growth would have to be very significant for this to pay off and almost no one thinks it will be. Likely will need massive cuts in public services once again. Madness.
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Post by Jan on Sept 26, 2022 11:29:03 GMT
Will we see another interest rise soon, markets seem to think so hence why the pound has stabilised a tiny bit though still at historic lows. Which of course would wipe out any gain from tax cuts and has the potential to cause a housing crash. As people carry more debt and have bigger mortgages these days you don't have to hit 10%+ for things to be unsustainable. Cost of borrowing still going up so the goverment are massively increasing the countries debt to fund the energy cap and tax cuts for the wealthy. Growth would have to be very significant for this to pay off and almost no one thinks it will be. Likely will need massive cuts in public services once again. Madness. We need a housing crash, prices have been inflated into a bubble by years of artificially low interest rates. Interested to see the only part of this Starmer wants to reverse is the 45% to 40% top rate reduction which has a trivial cost of around £1bn. The cost of the energy price cap which he supports is open-ended but around £100bn. He has said he will not reverse the basic rate income tax proposed for next year. And he actually effectively voted against the corporation tax rise when Sunak brought it in. Funding the energy price cap via debt is Corbyn-style economics so the markets don’t like it - what they really want to see on that is massive spending cuts.
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951 posts
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Post by vdcni on Sept 26, 2022 11:44:11 GMT
Interesting line from the Chief Economist of UBS Global Wealth Management
"Investors seem inclined to regard the UK Conservative Party as a doomsday cult"
It would be very funny if enough letters to oust her came in but I doubt it.
As much as the government are getting a kicking - can you imagine how much worse the howls if Labour put forward a budget this destructive to the market.
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2,340 posts
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Sept 26, 2022 12:05:46 GMT
Interesting line from the Chief Economist of UBS Global Wealth Management "Investors seem inclined to regard the UK Conservative Party as a doomsday cult" It would be very funny if enough letters to oust her came in but I doubt it. As much as the government are getting a kicking - can you imagine how much worse the howls if Labour put forward a budget this destructive to the market. Yep, not ruling out Johnson till the end of the season and a spring election
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395 posts
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Post by lichtie on Sept 26, 2022 14:24:13 GMT
The main issue for the inept idiots that form the cabinet is less the exchange rate than the surging yields on the gilts. The changes there are just wild. Truss is toast (perhaps with cheese on) if she carries on down this line. She has perhaps until the Spring. Just in time for the blonde buffoon to stage a comeback after she gets kicked out.
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2,340 posts
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Sept 26, 2022 17:39:12 GMT
Will we see another interest rise soon, markets seem to think so hence why the pound has stabilised a tiny bit though still at historic lows. Which of course would wipe out any gain from tax cuts and has the potential to cause a housing crash. As people carry more debt and have bigger mortgages these days you don't have to hit 10%+ for things to be unsustainable. Cost of borrowing still going up so the goverment are massively increasing the countries debt to fund the energy cap and tax cuts for the wealthy. Growth would have to be very significant for this to pay off and almost no one thinks it will be. Likely will need massive cuts in public services once again. Madness. We need a housing crash, prices have been inflated into a bubble by years of artificially low interest rates. Interested to see the only part of this Starmer wants to reverse is the 45% to 40% top rate reduction which has a trivial cost of around £1bn. The cost of the energy price cap which he supports is open-ended but around £100bn. He has said he will not reverse the basic rate income tax proposed for next year. And he actually effectively voted against the corporation tax rise when Sunak brought it in. Funding the energy price cap via debt is Corbyn-style economics so the markets don’t like it - what they really want to see on that is massive spending cuts. First post I thought you were explaining but if you were an MP you would at least have been thinking of writing letters to Graham Brady. Now I am not so sure
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Post by firefingers on Sept 28, 2022 10:29:26 GMT
Where is Truss? She tanked the pound and disappeared. Has she popped on holiday (a wise move to convert your pounds to another, less collapsing currency) or should we start checking her predecessor's favourite fridges?
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951 posts
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Post by vdcni on Sept 28, 2022 10:52:15 GMT
Well it's hard work blaming everyone else you know, she needs a rest.
Now the government's usual cheerleaders are trying to blame it all on - fear of an incoming Labour government. The sheer cheek of these people and their refusal to accept any responsibility for their own actions.
And now the Bank Of England are stepping in to shore up the situation, not unprecedented - we've seen it before but usually caused by major events outside of the governments control not by the actions of the government itself!
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1,485 posts
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Post by mkb on Sept 28, 2022 13:00:28 GMT
Front page of the Torygraph was trying to blame Remainers today. It can only be a matter of days before Harry and Meghan are deemed culpable for the economic woes.
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4,993 posts
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Post by Someone in a tree on Sept 28, 2022 13:58:32 GMT
A friend referred to her as Pippa Porkmarkets
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