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Post by zahidf on Sept 18, 2021 13:55:51 GMT
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Post by zahidf on Sept 17, 2021 12:42:17 GMT
It's not 100k. It's 1 in 40 people who catch covid, not 1 in 40 in the general population. So the actual number will be a lot lower. Around 7.3 million people have caught it, so 1 in 40 of those would be around 180 thousand. Fair enough, but in terms of society, its not really enough to justify restrictions
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Post by zahidf on Sept 17, 2021 11:40:53 GMT
What is the point of it being mandatory on the tubes yet none of the staff have the power to enforce it. I've seen at some larger stations police officers standing outside telling people to put their masks on as they enter, which is something. I guess they can say it's mandatory on the tube and hope that that is enough to get as many people as possible to wear them. You'll never get everyone though. I believe it's just tubes and theatres where they are mandatory now isn't it? It's not legally mandatory in the theatre. It's not legally mandatory on the tube either, only punishment for not wearing it is to be barred entry
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Post by zahidf on Sept 17, 2021 11:39:48 GMT
1 in 40 of people testing positive is still a major issue. That’s still over 100k. It's not 100k. It's 1 in 40 people who catch covid, not 1 in 40 in the general population. So the actual number will be a lot lower.
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Post by zahidf on Sept 17, 2021 10:25:13 GMT
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Post by zahidf on Sept 16, 2021 15:17:11 GMT
8th day of reduced cases... Since its been 15 days since schools went back, no after school bounce fingers crossed
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Post by zahidf on Sept 15, 2021 10:52:07 GMT
The society we now live in with it's political correctness and people's freedom to do as they please will not solve the covid issue. Personally I agree with vaccine passports and I think everyone does have a responsibility to get vaccinated to protect themselves and others. If they choose not to that is their business, but if they are not bothered about their part in spreading covid then they should not have some of the benefits such as attending mass gatherings indoors. There are many people who can't get the vaccine because of their religion or for medical reasons. You are excluding a huge amount of the population. I am not calling you this, but vaccine passports are borderline racist! Do you really want to live in a country that segregates people like that? I know I don't. Religious? There are no religious reasons to refuse a vaccine.
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Post by zahidf on Sept 14, 2021 15:19:31 GMT
Big cases falls across the entire country again.
UK: 37,489 -> 26,628 (-29.0%) England: 27,545 -> 19,739 (-28.3%) Scotland: 5,692 -> 3,375 (-40.7%) NI: 1,748 -> 1,590 (-9.0%) Wales: 2,504 -> 1,924 (-23.1%)
Just to counter the gloom on here. 6th Day of reductions
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Post by zahidf on Sept 14, 2021 10:27:07 GMT
Too rich for my blood. Hopefully they do rush tickets
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Post by zahidf on Sept 11, 2021 18:11:09 GMT
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Post by zahidf on Sept 10, 2021 10:51:05 GMT
Those of you who have already seen Indecent, how did you feel about the covid policy at the Menier? I would love to see this play, but am concerned about the space restrictions and the snugness at the theatre, it is really impossible to distance from your neighbour. From the website, their covid precautions don't seem to be brilliant. How did people feel about it, did you feel comfortable there? TIA. Good with making people wear masks. But it's back to normal in terms of no space between people.
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Post by zahidf on Sept 10, 2021 9:59:40 GMT
Really sad news.
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Post by zahidf on Sept 10, 2021 5:57:35 GMT
I thought this was great! Well worth a watch
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Post by zahidf on Sept 9, 2021 13:36:49 GMT
Looks like an interesting season overall.
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Post by zahidf on Sept 7, 2021 15:29:42 GMT
Not really: it's been going up and down since Jy 19th. Once you take into account the two-week delay before the effects of any change are reflected in the cases, the trend is almost entirely up. Perhaps you should look at the NHS instead of making assertions like that. I've been in intermittent pain for over a year waiting for surgery that might now happen next summer. Last year I was told it would be about six months. It's September. Guess how well that's going.
When I went to the doctor a couple of weeks ago everyone was thoroughly exhausted and demoralised. I had to walk round the place half naked with an octopus of ECG leads dangling from me because the big electrocardiogram had broken down and they couldn't get it working so they had to get me to the small one that had also broken down but could occasionally be coaxed into life. And that was all they had, with no idea when someone would be available even to see what was wrong, let alone get the parts to fix anything.
And even if the NHS is managing to cope now, how long do you think it can carry on? Right now 1 in every 276 people is infected. Surely you can't think it'll stay that way? That's not how diseases work. If we don't get the reproduction rate of this disease below 1 then it'll reach 1 in 200, then 1 in 100, then 1 in 50... How is the NHS going to cope with that?
And no, I'm not exaggerating. That's what a reproduction rate greater than one means. It means the disease is not self-limiting: it can only infect more and more people and it can't slow down until a lack of people to infect slows it down.
I didn't make any proposal. I was just saying how things are. We control this disease or it controls us, whether people stand for it or not. If vaccination doesn't do the job of controlling the spread — and I'm still hopeful that may yet happen if enough young people get their shots — then something else will need to, and for that there are only three options:
1) we reintroduce some restrictions until the cases fall to manageable levels
2) the increasing case rate scares people into imposing restrictions on themselves 3) things get much worse
This one: 4) stamp our feet until we get what we want isn't going to work. It never does.
R Rate isnt over 1. Its between 0.9-1.1. The option 4) is that we reach herd immunity when the unvaxxed get infected and recover, so the cases go down naturally ( like it did earlier this summer). Its a fallacy to say the only way forward is restrictions
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Post by zahidf on Sept 7, 2021 11:58:53 GMT
Covid will not go away, and so the way the NHS is funded needs to be reviewed to ensure that we have the resources to deal with the virus going forward. Covid is not going to go away, but that doesn't mean it has to stay at the current level.
The current level is very obviously unsustainable. Cases are still rising, which means that the vaccination programme hasn't yet caught up with the transmission opportunities created by the complete relaxation of restrictions. Deaths are the highest they've been for five months. The NHS is swamped and can't deal with anything but the most serious cases. And the solution is absolutely not to sit back and throw money at the problem (from where?) as if there's nothing else we can do.
If we can get the number of cases right down then all the other problems just go away. Fewer cases mean less exposure for everyone, making us all safer. Fewer cases make people more confident about going out, helping businesses recover. Fewer cases take the load off the NHS, allowing non-critical patients to be treated, giving the staff a very much needed break from the pressure, and preventing shortages of essential equipment. Fewer cases make it easier to identify and deal with outbreak hotspots, and if a local lockdown is required to handle such an outbreak then fewer cases make it easier for the government to provide support. It's like a fire: the smaller it is the easier it is to keep it small. Letting it spread and saying "This is how we live now" is the worst possible approach.
Not really: it's been going up and down since Jy 19th. The NHS isn't 'swamped' except in a few places. Your proposal won't really work unless it's for 2-3 months, which double vaxxed people simply won't go for.
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Post by zahidf on Sept 7, 2021 7:30:39 GMT
The website, which previously stated tickets were going on sale this month, now says the release is TBD. I hope the plan is still to open this in two months’ time, it seems late in the day for tickets to be selling, but then again I’ve not booked for the Almeida before so that could well be common practice? They did the same with Macbeth: maybe they are waiting to see if they have to extend Macbeth?
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Post by zahidf on Sept 7, 2021 7:28:28 GMT
They can close venues of course, but they can forget about people not seeing their friends/family going forward
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Post by zahidf on Sept 1, 2021 13:40:46 GMT
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Post by zahidf on Sept 1, 2021 6:36:47 GMT
If its severe enough to get you in hospital, the yes you're more likely to have long term issues. Of course the percentage of people hospitalised is relatively low, and that was pre-vaccine, so the evidence links up
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Post by zahidf on Aug 31, 2021 13:34:03 GMT
Long Covid a lot lower than initially estimated
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Post by zahidf on Aug 30, 2021 19:27:37 GMT
Fwiw no theatre I've been to in the last 2 months have stuck to staggered entrances. So I'd just turn-up 5/10 mins beforehand to get in if you're worried
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Post by zahidf on Aug 30, 2021 9:50:27 GMT
Ha!
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Post by zahidf on Aug 29, 2021 22:26:41 GMT
Gove was very pro lockdown and he's cutting a rug in nightclubs now. Probably going to be fine!
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Post by zahidf on Aug 29, 2021 17:02:33 GMT
Fifth day in a row with England's cases slowing down. Whilst Scotlands cases (with their mandatory masks) going upwards. Maybe masks aren't a silver bullet, and mandatory masking wouldn't make much of a difference?
Or maybe you shouldn't use statistically incomplete data? There's a reason the 7 day rolling averages don't include the most recent days.
Using the specimen dates it's going down
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Post by zahidf on Aug 29, 2021 15:41:21 GMT
Fifth day in a row with England's cases slowing down. Whilst Scotlands cases (with their mandatory masks) going upwards.
Maybe masks aren't a silver bullet, and mandatory masking wouldn't make much of a difference?
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Post by zahidf on Aug 29, 2021 14:06:50 GMT
Four days in a row when the number of new cases decreased in England. Just to counter the doom and gloom
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Post by zahidf on Aug 28, 2021 22:59:19 GMT
This was ACE. Definitely agree that Sutton Foster was amazing
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Post by zahidf on Aug 27, 2021 23:12:54 GMT
I'm surprised by how many people are not getting vaccinated. My housemates have both chosen not to get vaccinated, citing the usual "fertility" or "we don't know how it will affect us as it was rushed" nonsense. One of them is 46 and single so who he's saving his fertility for I don't know... Anyway, both are foreign nationals so presumably if travel becomes restricted to only those vaccinated, they'll have to if they want to visit home/family. It just surprises me. I had covid myself a few months ago, and whilst I did isolate and stay in my room away from them (they didn't catch it), I would have felt much better in the knowledge that they were at least protected by a vaccine, as if they had caught it and become very ill it would have essentially been my fault. And another surprising group? Fitness people such as personal trainers! I follow many on instagram and am constantly seeing stories about how they opt not to vaccinate as they're super-healthy and want to do things the natural way and their body doesn't need it. They're missing the bigger picture entirely. Loads of sportsmen and footballers aren't taking it either apparently
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Post by zahidf on Aug 27, 2021 18:32:04 GMT
I went to the doctor today with heart rhythm problems. Blood test and ECG. While I was there they received instructions that owing to a shortage of suitable bottles no more blood tests can be performed except for things like cancer diagnosis. I've been referred to the cardiologist and I'm hoping that my blood test can slip in before the moratorium, because otherwise the cardiologist is just going to have to guess at the underlying cause. This is the reality of "I don't want any more restrictions; we'll just have to get used to it". Unless you also plan to stop treating Covid-19 patients and shove them all into a barn and let them cough at each other until the dying stops, the high number of patients means other people can't get normal levels of care. Everything is spread too thin. (And all the staff at the practice looked absolutely exhausted.) But the solution to that is going to be to put more money into health care. If we agree to ridiculous social distancing measures when most of us are double jabbed, instead of putting them in the bin where they belong, then we won't get rid of them (Masks are a sideshow really. Won't make a difference in terms of getting case numbers down really)
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