Strictly 2018 - Spoiler Thread

On the Strictly Spoiler, but he stresses it's unconfirmed and could not be true, it was between Ashley and Graeme, and Graeme is out.

But as he couldn't confirm it with usual sources, it might not be true.

It's quite right they're being more picky with her though. She's supposed to be this "amazing" dancer but she's not made any improvement since the beginning really. The dancers who are good from the beginning rarely win anyway. It doesn't help that she's got all the personality and stage presence of a dish mop either.

As Ashley got the lindyhop points as well it means hardly anyone voted for her. People obviously voting for Lauren cos she is obviously a determined person and AJ has a following I expect. I know it wasn’t epoch making but her dance was more 'honest' than Graeme's - stoopid way of putting it it but I can’t think how else to say it. Ashley needs to do a perfect ballroom to stay in. Too much hopping and skipping for the Grandmas. The kids are out at Xmas parties so only the old uns and the little uns left to vote.

Ashley and Pasha won the Lindy-hop-a-thon so were then joint 2nd on the leaderboard and would have got 6 points along with Kevin and the Dooley. Faye and Gio would have been 7 points, Joe and Di 5 points etc down to AJ and Lauren on 2 points.

If Ashley and Pasha were in the bottom two they must have come bottom of the public votes if they rank them 1 to 7. In ties the public vote takes priority and when teams tie on the leaderboard the lower teams often benefit from an extra point.

But with Pashley being in the bottom two in my calculation AJ and Lauren must have been at least 2nd on the public vote :-

Pashley 7 points from judge's vote and 1 point from public vote = 8
Lauren and AJ 2 points from judge's vote and 6 points from public vote = 8 (But public points take priority in tie break so AJ/Lauren ahead).

If Charles had say been in bottom 2 with Oti and Swanny then it would have made sense.

There is a risk a couple of big hitters could end up in a dance off next week or the SF.

Caroline Flack and Abbey Clancy were certainly in dance offs on their way to winning but Abbey's year was very open if I recall.

I always say look at the Bookies odds they have Stacey at Evens, Joe 2-1, Ashley 6-1 and Faye 7-1.

A majority of us would probably say Ashley and Faye are better dancers than the other two but the bookies clearly don't think they will win or they would not be offering 6 or 7 to 1 over them as those odds would be snapped up in a heartbeat.

I prefer Ashley to Faye as even though they are both good dancers Ashley's the much stronger performer and can sell a dance, pretty much the only contestant who can this year, Faye is a bit bland.

Stacey and Joe are generally decent mid level Strictly celebs but compared to similar level celebs in the past their performance skills are non existent. I'm bored of them within seconds of the dance starting.

Ashley I think suffers from being seen as a "trained dancer", Faye has done some dancing before but no more than say Louise or Alexandra Burke had done and both those two came up short.

 Interesting no vote bounce for Ashley, I wonder if she gets any at all. 
It was blatant bad choreography for Charles and a boring costume.
Wonder what will happen if it is Faye v Ashley next week.

my prediction for the final:
1st Stacey
2nd Joe
3rd Ashley
4th Faye
5th Lauren

Ashley would have been in the bottom 2 for 3 weeks in a row - if she is there next week (which does seem probable)

She is also the only person left in the competition who has faced a dance-off

So why do we think Lauren would be off v anyone else. She danced v well tonight. Ballroom suits her and she could trounce a poor Latin from Joe. But then how many followers does he have?